Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.977437 2.150259 2.334351 2.545559 2.781814 3.038667 3.340007
2025-12-07 1.708857 1.942477 2.205961 2.527054 2.910368 3.356537 3.919924
2025-12-14 1.528636 1.792882 2.103311 2.498652 2.994123 3.601822 4.415002
2025-12-21 1.366989 1.641276 1.973562 2.411281 2.981090 3.709690 4.731796
2025-12-28 1.280030 1.569417 1.929846 2.419524 3.079823 3.957957 5.247086
2026-01-04 1.215953 1.518903 1.905699 2.446112 3.198790 4.237158 5.828807
2026-01-11 1.163086 1.477444 1.887917 2.476291 3.320729 4.526567 6.452989
2026-01-18 1.115223 1.438263 1.868752 2.500486 3.432750 4.807888 7.093459
2026-01-25 1.066282 1.393765 1.838179 2.504294 3.512525 5.044865 7.687909
2026-02-01 1.004226 1.327116 1.771860 2.450209 3.498854 5.133257 8.043034
2026-02-08 0.953705 1.273591 1.720514 2.413752 3.507625 5.255192 8.466005
2026-02-15 0.914384 1.233698 1.686132 2.399756 3.549186 5.432049 9.005051
2026-02-22 0.896675 1.224661 1.697226 2.457730 3.713579 5.834851 10.025406
2026-03-01 0.860808 1.187136 1.663635 2.442956 3.756160 6.030843 10.677494
2026-03-08 0.824770 1.147480 1.624453 2.416167 3.775359 6.185527 11.267026
2026-03-15 0.777584 1.088908 1.553228 2.332503 3.689247 6.138240 11.428383
2026-03-22 0.755434 1.067286 1.538140 2.340412 3.764431 6.399091 12.287570
2026-03-29 0.738764 1.053188 1.533930 2.365894 3.872509 6.733048 13.362290
2026-04-05 0.723864 1.041058 1.532031 2.394811 3.988609 7.094183 14.561582
2026-04-12 0.708626 1.027638 1.527204 2.417993 4.095258 7.446753 15.803468
2026-04-19 0.690326 1.008521 1.512013 2.421641 4.164209 7.727099 16.914665
2026-04-26 0.662255 0.972636 1.467431 2.369820 4.120276 7.759811 17.381029
2026-05-03 0.639015 0.943700 1.433217 2.334882 4.107208 7.858568 18.043860